Date of Award:


Document Type:


Degree Name:

Master of Science (MS)


Wildland Resources

Department name when degree awarded

Forest Science

Committee Chair(s)

Richard A. Ogle


Richard A. Ogle


The primary objective of this study was to develop a prediction system for the occurrence of law violations on the Ogden Ranger District, Weber County, Cache National Forest, Utah, whereby the existing manpower and equipment may be used as effectively as possible.

In an attempt to develop the prediction system, 13 variables were chosen that were felt to be related to the occurrence of law violations. These variables consisted on nine weather variables and four use related variables, Of the original 13 variables, 12 variables were significant. The most significant variables that accounted for the greatest portion of the variability of the occurrence of law violations were directly related to the level of use.

The prediction system developed in this study is not a usable tool for the resource managers of the Ogden Ranger District because it accounted for little more than chance alone.