Date of Award:

1967

Document Type:

Thesis

Degree Name:

Master of Business Administration (MBA)

Department:

Management

Advisor/Chair:

Scott Durdan

Abstract

The possibility of developing leading economic indicators of housing starts, on a localized basis, was studied in Tremonton, Utah, for the period from 1958 to 1965. Data on any economic variable which might show a leading relationship to housing starts was gathered and synthesized to ascertain any predicting tendencies.

Several of the variables researched, particularly contracts awarded to Thiokol and Thiokol employment, showed a high positive correlation to housing starts; however, none showed any consistent leading pattern.

An accelerator relationship was found to exist between the average rate of change in Thiokol employment and housing starts. This finding, though not directly applicable to the study, resulted in the most economically rational explanation for the absence of a leading indicator.

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