Description

Evaluating the impact of weight exerted by settled snow (i.e., snow load) on structures poses numerous statistical challenges, including missing data, biased distribution parameters, and the influence of climate change. This dissertation aims to address challenges related to the use both direct and indirect measurements of snow load (or equivalently, snow water equivalent), as well as the anticipated impact of climate change on future extreme snow loads. The first paper within this dissertation investigates short-term snow loads by comparing various techniques for estimating extreme values of short-term snow accumulations. Additionally, the first paper includes a comparative analysis of short-term and long-term snow accumulations, revealing significant differences in snow load accumulation patterns across geographical regions. The second paper focuses on bias correction in the scale parameter of the generalized extreme value distribution describing extreme snow loads in situations where the snow load is estimated indirectly using snow depth data. The bias correction is accomplished using bootstrap techniques when some of the snow load data is only approximated, rather than directly measured. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in correcting scale parameter bias, as evidenced by simulation studies and real-life snow data. In the third paper, we incorporate the effects of climate change in the snow load estimation process and discuss the implications of considering the effects of climate change in snow load design. Our findings indicate that most locations in the United States have a reduced risk of snow-induced structural failure in a future climate. However, other locations appear to have an increased risk of structure failure, though there is no agreement among climate models as to which areas are at increased risk. Together, these interconnected papers refine methods for characterizing extreme snow accumulations and address the statistical complexities of estimating design snow loads for both current and future conditions.

Author ORCID Identifier

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3899-5643

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2853-0455

Document Type

Dataset

DCMI Type

Dataset

File Format

.txt, .xlsx, .csv, .tif, .json, .r

Publication Date

9-9-2024

Funder

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

Publisher

Utah State University

Award Number

NOAA award # 3076731

Methodology

This deposit includes the dataset, model, R functions, and R scripts used in the aforementioned dissertation. The dissertation is divided into three papers, with separate folders containing the code for Papers 1, 2, and 3.

Language

eng

Disciplines

Data Science | Earth Sciences

License

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Additional Files

README.txt (10 kB)

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Research Organization Registry Funder ID

https://ror.org/02z5nhe81