Document Type
Article
Journal/Book Title/Conference
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
Volume
35
Issue
2
Publication Date
2007
First Page
149
Last Page
178
Abstract
A theoretical framework is presented to explain how agents respond to information under uncertainty in contingent valuation surveys. Agents are provided with information signals and referendum prices as part of the elicitation process. Agents use Bayesian updating to revise prior distributions. An information prompt is presented to reduce hypothetical bias. However, we show the interaction between anchoring and the information prompt creates a systematic bias in willingness to pay. We test our hypotheses in an experimental setting where agents are asked to make a hypothetical, voluntary contribution to a public good. Experimental results are consistent with the model.
Recommended Citation
Aadland, David M., Arthur J. Caplan, and Owen R. Phillips. (2007) "A Bayesian Examination of Information and Uncertainty in Contingent Valuation." Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 35(2), 149-178.
Comments
Full text from publisher may require subscription or payment of a fee. http://www.springerlink.com/content/t627825407250486/