Document Type

Article

Author ORCID Identifier

Reza Morovati https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0660-8343

Ozgur Kisi https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7847-5872

Journal/Book Title/Conference

Hydrology

Volume

11

Issue

4

Publisher

MDPI AG

Publication Date

4-4-2024

Journal Article Version

Version of Record

First Page

1

Last Page

21

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Abstract

This study addresses the challenge of utilizing incomplete long-term discharge data when using gridded precipitation datasets and data-driven modeling in Iran's Karkheh basin. The Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN), a rainfall-runoff (R-R) model, was applied, leveraging precipitation data from the Asian Precipitation—Highly Resolved Observational Data Integration Toward Evaluation (APHRODITE), Global Precipitation Climatology Center (GPCC), and Climatic Research Unit (CRU). The MLPNN was trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm and optimized with the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II). Input data were pre-processed through principal component analysis (PCA) and singular value decomposition (SVD). This study explored two scenarios: Scenario 1 (S1) used in situ data for calibration and gridded dataset data for testing, while Scenario 2 (S2) involved separate calibrations and tests for each dataset. The findings reveal that APHRODITE outperformed in S1, with all datasets showing improved results in S2. The best results were achieved with hybrid applications of the S2-PCA-NSGA-II for APHRODITE and S2-SVD-NSGA-II for GPCC and CRU. This study concludes that gridded precipitation datasets, when properly calibrated, significantly enhance runoff simulation accuracy, highlighting the importance of bias correction in rainfall-runoff modeling. It is important to emphasize that this modeling approach may not be suitable in situations where a catchment is undergoing significant changes, whether due to development interventions or the impacts of anthropogenic climate change. This limitation highlights the need for dynamic modeling approaches that can adapt to changing catchment conditions.

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