Date of Award:

5-2026

Document Type:

Thesis

Degree Name:

Master of Science (MS)

Department:

Applied Economics

Committee Chair(s)

Man Li

Committee

Man Li

Committee

Arthur Caplan

Committee

Christopher Lant

Abstract

Land can broadly be classified based on human use and natural characteristics into categories such as cropland, pastureland, urban areas, forests, shrubland, and wetlands. Each type of land has a different capacity to store carbon, and forests play a dominant role. In Utah, economic incentives, urban growth, and population increase are driving shifts in these land-use categories. Using data on agricultural revenue, land values, environmental characteristics, and satellite-based carbon information from the past decade, this study examines how land use may change over the next two decades. The findings suggest a substantial expansion of urban areas, accompanied by declines in forest, agricultural, and pasture lands. As a result, the region is likely to experience a reduction in its carbon storage capacity. This decline may have negative consequences for regional biodiversity and contribute to global climate change. However, the study also shows that forest conservation can be achieved at a reasonable cost, helping to maintain carbon storage while supporting sustainable land management. These insights can support more informed land-use decisions in rapidly growing regions.

Included in

Business Commons

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