Document Type
Article
Journal/Book Title/Conference
Nature
Author ORCID Identifier
Mariana García Criado https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7480-6144
Isla H. Myers‐Smith https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8417-6112
Anne D. Bjorkman https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2174-7800
Sarah C. Elmendorf https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1085-8521
Signe Normand https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8782-4154
Peter Aastrup https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4258-3358
Rien Aerts https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6694-0669
Juha M. Alatalo https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5084-850X
Lander Baeten https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4262-9221
Robert G. Björk https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7346-666X
Mats P. Björkman https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5768-1976
Noémie Boulanger‐Lapointe https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0104-6065
Ethan E. Butler https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3482-1950
Elisabeth J. Cooper https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0634-1282
Gergana N. Daskalova https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5674-5322
Belen Fadrique https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6919-9156
Greg H. R. Henry https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2606-9650
Robert D. Hollister https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4764-7691
Toke T. Høye https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5387-3284
Ida Bomholt Dyrholm Jacobsen https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2481-8061
Annika K. Jägerbrand https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5322-9827
Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3804-7077
Elina Kaarlejärvi https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0014-0073
Simone I. Lang https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6812-2528
Nicolas Lecomte https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8473-5375
Jonathan Lenoir https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0638-9582
Petr Macek https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4792-9461
Julie Messier https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1637-6793
Anders Michelsen https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9541-8658
Matteo Petit Bon https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9829-8324
Eric Post https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9471-5351
Katrine Raundrup https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2110-3709
Riikka Rinnan https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7222-700X
Christian Rixen https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-9988
Ingvild Ryde https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6544-1446
Gabriela Schaepman‐Strub https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4069-1884
Niels Martin Schmidt https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4166-6218
Franziska Schrodt https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9053-8872
Manuel J. Steinbauer https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7142-9272
Volume
642
Publisher
Nature Portfolio
Publication Date
4-30-2025
Journal Article Version
Version of Record
First Page
653
Last Page
661
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Abstract
The Arctic is warming four times faster than the global average1 and plant communities are responding through shifts in species abundance, composition and distribution2,3,4. However, the direction and magnitude of local changes in plant diversity in the Arctic have not been quantified. Using a compilation of 42,234 records of 490 vascular plant species from 2,174 plots across the Arctic, here we quantified temporal changes in species richness and composition through repeat surveys between 1981 and 2022. We also identified the geographical, climatic and biotic drivers behind these changes. We found greater species richness at lower latitudes and warmer sites, but no indication that, on average, species richness had changed directionally over time. However, species turnover was widespread, with 59% of plots gaining and/or losing species. Proportions of species gains and losses were greater where temperatures had increased the most. Shrub expansion, particularly of erect shrubs, was associated with greater species losses and decreasing species richness. Despite changes in plant composition, Arctic plant communities did not become more similar to each other, suggesting no biotic homogenization so far. Overall, Arctic plant communities changed in richness and composition in different directions, with temperature and plant–plant interactions emerging as the main drivers of change. Our findings demonstrate how climate and biotic drivers can act in concert to alter plant composition, which could precede future biodiversity changes that are likely to affect ecosystem function, wildlife habitats and the livelihoods of Arctic peoples5,6.
Recommended Citation
García Criado, M., Myers-Smith, I.H., Bjorkman, A.D. et al. Plant diversity dynamics over space and time in a warming Arctic. Nature 642, 653–661 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-08946-8
Comments
The final published version is available here: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-08946-8, and the publisher is Nature Portfolio.